Why a ‘bullish’ RUNE doesn’t tell us the whole story

RUNE is at present making an attempt a restoration after extending its draw back over the previous few days. It just lately retested its structural help close to the $3-price stage too.

The final time RUNE traded round the similar value level was on 23 February and 21 July, each after main bear runs. It seems to be like issues aren’t very completely different this time, particularly since the retest comes after a main downturn.

RUNE’s value dropped by roughly 80% from its end-of-March excessive to its present help stage.

Source: TradingView

RUNE was buying and selling at $3.36m at the time of writing, after a notable restoration from its $2.46 low on 12 May. The value registered a pullback after the current native low, earlier than closing the day on the 0% Fibonacci help line.

RUNE’s value seems to be like it’s on a bullish restoration path. A brief-term rally will doubtless retest help close to the two closest Fibonacci retracement ranges at the 23.60% and 38.2% strains. This means that it’ll doubtless encounter help close to the $5.42 and $6.90 value ranges, respectively.

Will RUNE preserve the bullish trajectory?

RUNE’s value motion has been closely oversold over the previous few weeks and is due for a important retracement. This expectation is additional supported by the truth RUNE’s RSI entered the oversold zone at its current low. It additionally registered wholesome accumulation which aided its ongoing restoration.

The bullish efficiency over the final three days can be a signal of downward development exhaustion, paving the means for the bears to take over. RUNE’s on-chain metrics additional align with the aforementioned observations.

For instance, the ‘supply held by whales’ metric signifies that the sell-off is tapering out.

The ‘Binance derivatives funding rate’ metric confirms a restoration to regular ranges, thus displaying a signal of restored curiosity from the derivatives market.

1652693093 443 Why a ‘bullish RUNE doesnt tell us the whole story

Source: Santiment

Additionally, developer exercise has seen a sharp drop in the final 5 days. This is probably going as a result of the affect of UST de-pegging, particularly as builders await a return to normalcy.

THORChain’s newest improve additionally revealed that builders are ready for the Terra group to supply a restoration plan.


RUNE’s overdue restoration may lastly be right here. However, it doesn’t essentially imply the rally is assured. The markets have proved to be extraordinarily unstable and that volatility may strike but once more in favor of extra draw back.

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